Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Independiente del Valle beat Delfin SC 2-0 in Kupa.
Venue: Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
In our records Independiente del Valle and Delfin SC have met 7 times: Independiente del Valle won 4, 2 ended level and Delfin SC won 1.
Their latest meeting (): Delfin SC 0-3 Independiente del Valle.
Match details
Venue
Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Match decisions & VAR
34'Review overVAR review · incidentDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Independiente del Valle won 2-0.
Story
Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
67' — Independiente del Valle took the lead: 1-0. 90' — Independiente del Valle extended the lead: 2-0. It came in the closing minutes. Independiente del Valle won 2-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Independiente del ValleDrawDelfin SC
Pre-match model estimate: Independiente del Valle 76%, draw 15%, Delfin SC 9%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Independiente del Valle win in 76% of the simulated matches, 15% end level and Delfin SC win 9%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 2-0 (12%); both teams score in 48%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
