Guatemala vs Canada kick-off time: 14/11/2026 02:00
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- GuatemalaWDWLLUnbeaten in 3 matches
- CanadaLWLWL
Recent meetings
More- International FriendliesCanada1 - 0Guatemala
CONCACAF Nations League
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guatemala | 4 | +6 | 7 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 | Suriname | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 4 | Honduras | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 5 | Martinique | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -6 | 4 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Guatemala and Canada meet on in CONCACAF Nations League.
Venue: Estadio El Trébol.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Canada (54%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Guatemala vs Canada: preview
Guatemala have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Guatemala are unbeaten in 3 matches. 7 of Guatemala's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4. Canada have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. 4 of Canada's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
Our pre-match model estimate: Guatemala 23%, draw 23%, Canada 54%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Guatemala win in 23% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Canada win 54%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 58%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.

