8' — Genoa took the lead: 1-0. Milutin Osmajic scored it. 16' — Genoa extended the lead: 2-0. Junior Messias scored it. Half time: 2-0.
73' — Fiorentina pulled one back: 2-1. An own goal by Johan Vásquez. Genoa won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
GenoaDrawFiorentina
Pre-match model estimate: Genoa 31%, draw 30%, Fiorentina 39%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Genoa took the lead on 8 minutes thanks to Milutin Osmajic. Genoa extended their lead to 2-0 on 16 minutes thanks to Junior Messias. Genoa led 2-0 at the break.
Fiorentina pulled one back to make it 2-1 on 73 minutes thanks to an own goal from Johan Vásquez.
What the numbers say
Genoa won 3 corners, Fiorentina 4.
What it means
Genoa ended Fiorentina's unbeaten run of 4 matches. It is Genoa's first win over Fiorentina in the last 9 meetings on record.
Coming up
Genoa host AC Milan next, on 8 November in Serie A. Next up for Fiorentina: home to Juventus on Sunday 8 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie A
