Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CSM Deva beat SSU Politehnica Timisoara II 2-1 in Liga 3.
Match decisions & VAR
32'Penalty awardedCSM DevaDecision
55'Penalty awardedCSM DevaDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: CSM Deva won 2-1.
Story
CSM Deva vs SSU Politehnica Timisoara II: the story of the match
13' — SSU Politehnica Timisoara II took the lead: 0-1. 21' — CSM Deva equalised: 1-1. Half time: 1-1.
64' — CSM Deva completed the turnaround: 2-1. CSM Deva won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CSM DevaDrawSSU Politehnica Timisoara II
Pre-match model estimate: CSM Deva 74%, draw 15%, SSU Politehnica Timisoara II 11%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CSM Deva win in 74% of the simulated matches, 15% end level and SSU Politehnica Timisoara II win 11%. Average goals 3.7; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 60%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 11%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CSM Deva – SSU Politehnica Timisoara II match report
