45' — Galatasaray took the lead: 1-0. A. Bardakci scored it. Half time: 1-0.
65' — L. Torreira of Galatasaray was sent off. 68' — Kasimpasa equalised: 1-1. J. Rak-Sakyi scored it. 90' — Galatasaray went back in front: 2-1. B. Yilmaz scored it. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Galatasaray extended the lead: 3-1. M. Lemina scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Galatasaray won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
GalatasarayDrawKasimpasa
Pre-match model estimate: Galatasaray 58%, draw 23%, Kasimpasa 19%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Galatasaray took the lead on 45 minutes thanks to A. Bardakci, set up by A. Batrakov. Galatasaray led 1-0 at the break.
L. Torreira saw a straight red card in the 65th minute, leaving Galatasaray short-handed. Kasimpasa drew level at 1-1 in the 68th minute: J. Rak-Sakyi. Galatasaray went 2-1 up in the 90th minute: B. Yilmaz, set up by V. Osimhen. Late on, in the 90th minute, Galatasaray extended their lead to 3-1 through M. Lemina.
The bigger picture
Galatasaray ended Kasimpasa's unbeaten run of 6 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.