Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Odds BK beat FK Haugesund 3-2 in 1st Division.
Venue: Haugesund Stadion.
In our records FK Haugesund and Odds BK have met 10 times: FK Haugesund won 5, 3 ended level and Odds BK won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Odds BK 1-3 FK Haugesund.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Odds BK won 2-3.
Story
FK Haugesund vs Odds BK: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 18' — Odds BK took the lead: 0-1. 33' — Odds BK extended the lead: 0-2. Half time: 0-2, with FK Haugesund applying more of the pressure.
51' — Odds BK extended the lead: 0-3. 68' — FK Haugesund pulled one back: 1-3. 90' — FK Haugesund pulled one back: 2-3. It came in the closing minutes. Odds BK won 2-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FK HaugesundDrawOdds BK
Pre-match model estimate: FK Haugesund 65%, draw 17%, Odds BK 18%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
FK HaugesundOdds BK
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min990
Last 15 min968
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FK Haugesund win in 65% of the simulated matches, 17% end level and Odds BK win 18%. Average goals 4.2; the most likely score is 2-1 (8%); both teams score in 72%. About 10.3 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
1st Division
