Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: JS El Biar won 1-0.
Story
JS El Biar vs MC Alger: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 7' — JS El Biar took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0, with MC Alger applying more of the pressure.
JS El Biar won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
JS El BiarDrawMC Alger
Pre-match model estimate: JS El Biar 18%, draw 27%, MC Alger 55%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
JS El BiarMC Alger
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min3958
Last 15 min4258
Recorded from minute 3.
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): JS El Biar win in 18% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and MC Alger win 55%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 0-1 (17%); both teams score in 38%. About 8.4 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 21%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Ligue 1
