FC Como vs Manchester United: the story of the match
3' — FC Como took the lead: 1-0. Nico Paz scored it. Half time: 1-0.
49' — FC Como extended the lead: 2-0. Anastasios Douvikas scored it. 57' — FC Como extended the lead: 3-0. Nico Paz scored it. 76' — FC Como extended the lead: 4-0. Jacobo Ramón scored it. 91' — Manchester United pulled one back: 4-1. Joshua Zirkzee scored it. It came in the closing minutes. FC Como won 4-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC ComoDrawManchester United
Pre-match model estimate: FC Como 42%, draw 21%, Manchester United 37%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Como win in 42% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Manchester United win 37%. Average goals 3.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (8%); both teams score in 71%. About 9.6 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Como took the lead on 3 minutes thanks to Nico Paz. It was FC Como 1-0 Manchester United at half-time.
FC Como extended their lead to 2-0 on 49 minutes thanks to Anastasios Douvikas, set up by Nico Paz. FC Como extended their lead to 3-0 on 57 minutes thanks to Nico Paz. FC Como extended their lead to 4-0 in the 76th minute: Jacobo Ramón, set up by Kaiki. Manchester United had a goal ruled out in the 86th minute. Joshua Zirkzee reduced the deficit for Manchester United to 4-1 after 91 minutes, set up by Amad Diallo.
The statistics
The shot count read 8-6, 8-4 on target. Manchester United produced 132 dangerous attacks to FC Como's 108.
What the result means
The result lifts FC Como to 9th with 6 points, up from 17th. Manchester United drop from 18th to 21st on 3 points. Manchester United have now gone 7 matches without a win.
Coming up
FC Como's next match is at home against Venezia on 1 November. Manchester United visit Chelsea next, on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
UEFA Champions League
