2' — Galatasaray took the lead: 0-1. Yunus Akgün scored it. 8' — Lille OSC equalised: 1-1. Soriba Diaoune scored it. 39' — Lille OSC completed the turnaround: 2-1. Soriba Diaoune scored it. 44' — Galatasaray equalised: 2-2. Alexey Batrakov scored it. Half time: 2-2.
52' — Galatasaray completed the turnaround: 2-3. An own goal by Berke Özer. 61' — Galatasaray extended the lead: 2-4. Victor Osimhen scored it. Galatasaray won 2-4.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Lille OSCDrawGalatasaray
Pre-match model estimate: Lille OSC 67%, draw 17%, Galatasaray 16%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Lille OSC win in 67% of the simulated matches, 17% end level and Galatasaray win 16%. Average goals 3.9; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 67%. About 9.8 corners on average. About 3.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Lille OSC – Galatasaray match report
Updated:
Lille OSC let a lead slip and lost 4-2 to Galatasaray at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Lille OSC owed a lot to Soriba Diaoune, who struck twice.
Key moments
Yunus Akgün opened the scoring for Galatasaray after 2 minutes. Lille OSC drew level at 1-1 on 8 minutes thanks to Soriba Diaoune. Soriba Diaoune turned the game around for Lille OSC at 2-1 after 39 minutes, set up by Hákon Haraldsson. Galatasaray drew level at 2-2 on 44 minutes thanks to Alexey Batrakov, set up by Roland Sallai. The first half ended 2-2.
Galatasaray completed the turnaround at 3-2 on 52 minutes thanks to an own goal from Berke Özer. Galatasaray extended their lead to 4-2 on 61 minutes thanks to Victor Osimhen, set up by Baris Alper Yilmaz. The officials disallowed a Galatasaray goal on 70 minutes.
Match statistics
Lille OSC had 10 shots (5 on target) to Galatasaray's 6 (4). Corners finished 3-3.
What the result means
Lille OSC slip to 35th (0 points), having started the day 34th. Galatasaray climb from 35th to 23rd on 3 points. Galatasaray have now scored in 5 consecutive matches.
Next fixtures
Next up for Lille OSC: home to Lens on Friday 30 October. Galatasaray's next match is away to Konyaspor on 30 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.