FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca: the story of the match
20' — UTC Cajamarca took the lead: 0-1. Marlon de Jesús scored it. Half time: 0-1.
52' — Paulo Cesar Goyoneche of FC Cajamarca was sent off. 71' — UTC Cajamarca extended the lead: 0-2. Marcos Lliuya scored it. 81' — UTC Cajamarca extended the lead: 0-3. Abdiel Arroyo scored from the penalty spot. 88' — FC Cajamarca pulled one back: 1-3. Sebastián Enciso scored it. It came in the closing minutes. UTC Cajamarca won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC CajamarcaDrawUTC Cajamarca
Pre-match model estimate: FC Cajamarca 42%, draw 25%, UTC Cajamarca 33%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Cajamarca win in 42% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and UTC Cajamarca win 33%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 57%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 25%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
UTC Cajamarca took the lead on 20 minutes thanks to Marlon de Jesús. UTC Cajamarca led 1-0 at the break.
Paulo Cesar Goyoneche saw a straight red card in the 52nd minute, leaving FC Cajamarca short-handed. UTC Cajamarca extended their lead to 2-0 on 71 minutes thanks to Marcos Lliuya. UTC Cajamarca extended their lead to 3-0 on 81 minutes thanks to Abdiel Arroyo from the penalty spot. FC Cajamarca pulled one back to make it 1-3 in the 88th minute: Sebastián Enciso.
Match statistics
FC Cajamarca won 3 corners, UTC Cajamarca 4.
What the result means
FC Cajamarca have now gone 5 matches without a win. UTC Cajamarca end a run of 10 matches without a win.
Primera Division, Clausura
