Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
Atletico Balboa and CD Inca meet on in Primera Division, Apertura.
Venue: Estadio Marcelino Imbers.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Atletico Balboa (57%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
57%22%21%
Atletico Balboa57%Draw22%CD Inca21%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Atletico Balboa vs CD Inca: preview
Atletico Balboa have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Atletico Balboa are unbeaten in 4 matches. 6 of Atletico Balboa's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7. CD Inca have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. CD Inca have not won in 6 matches. 4 of CD Inca's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.
Atletico Balboa are in position 9 with 20 points, CD Inca in position 11 with 17 points. A win could lift Atletico Balboa as high as position 8. A win could lift CD Inca as high as position 9.
Our pre-match model estimate: Atletico Balboa 57%, draw 22%, CD Inca 21%.
Table by result
Atletico Balboa9
A win can lift them as high as 8.
A defeat can drop them as low as 10.
Win8–9Draw9Loss9–10
CD Inca11
A win can lift them as high as 9.
Win9–10Draw11Loss11
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Atletico Balboa win in 57% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and CD Inca win 21%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 56%. About 9.9 corners on average. About 4.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 29%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Atletico Balboa go into the game 9th on 20 points, CD Inca 11th on 17 points. CD Inca trail Atletico Balboa by 3 points.
Recent form
Over the last 5 matches, Atletico Balboa have collected 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. 4 games without defeat for Atletico Balboa. 6 of Atletico Balboa's last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
Over the last 5 matches, CD Inca have collected 1 draw and 4 defeats. CD Inca have gone 6 matches without a win. CD Inca average 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game over their last 10.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Primera Division, Apertura
