Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Squad status
Line-ups not announced yet. Official line-ups are usually announced about 1 hour before kick-off.
No injured or suspended players reported for this match (checked ).
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: PFC Navbahor won 1-2.
Story
Xorazm Urganch vs PFC Navbahor: the story of the match
3' — PFC Navbahor took the lead: 0-1. 35' — PFC Navbahor extended the lead: 0-2. Half time: 0-2.
57' — Xorazm Urganch pulled one back: 1-2. PFC Navbahor won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Xorazm UrganchDrawPFC Navbahor
Pre-match model estimate: Xorazm Urganch 15%, draw 21%, PFC Navbahor 64%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Xorazm Urganch win in 15% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and PFC Navbahor win 64%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 0-1 (14%); both teams score in 45%. About 10.2 corners on average.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
PFC Navbahor took the lead on 3 minutes. PFC Navbahor extended their lead to 2-0 on 35 minutes. It was Xorazm Urganch 0-2 PFC Navbahor at half-time.
Xorazm Urganch pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 57 minutes.
Match statistics
Corners finished 3-4. Dangerous attacks: 52 for PFC Navbahor, 35 for Xorazm Urganch.
The bigger picture
Xorazm Urganch remain 15th, now with 23 points. PFC Navbahor stay 3rd on 49 points. The wait for a win goes on for Xorazm Urganch: 10 matches now. PFC Navbahor are now unbeaten in 12 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
