One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
CubaKick-off0-0Grenada
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Cuba 2.5 – 0.8 Grenada. Most frequent scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%). Both teams score in 52% of the simulated matches. About 9.6 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
CubaGrenada
Cuba: the stronger side on our resultsCUstrong
Cuba: home advantage in this competitionCUclear
Also considered
Grenada: last match 3 days ago (short rest)
In our past matches these circumstances did not measurably improve the prediction, so they do not change the percentages.
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Cuba.
Table by result
Cuba1
Win1Draw1Loss1
Grenada3
A win lifts them to 2.
Win2Draw3Loss3
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It is 1st against 3rd: Cuba have 11 points, Grenada 6 points. This is a meeting of two top-four sides separated by 5 points: Cuba against Grenada.
How they come into it
CubaWDDWWGrenadaWLWLL
Over the last 5 matches, Cuba have collected 3 wins and 2 draws. Cuba have not lost in 9 matches. Cuba's recent home record reads 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 4. 6 of Cuba's last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
Over the last 5 matches, Grenada have collected 2 wins and 3 defeats. Grenada have scored in each of their last 3 matches. On the road, Grenada have 2 wins and 3 defeats from their last 5 matches, with a goal tally of 6-14. Goals have flowed in Grenada's games: 9 of the last 10 produced at least three.
Previous meetings
In 3 previous meetings, Cuba have won 1, Grenada 1, and 1 has been drawn. When they last met, on 25 September 2026, Cuba won 3-0. There have been 9 goals in the 3 meetings, 3.0 a game.
CONCACAF Nations League
