Bonaire vs Cuba kick-off time: 12/11/2026 20:00
CONCACAF Nations League
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- BonaireWLLLL
- CubaDDWWDUnbeaten in 8 matches
Recent meetings
More- CONCACAF Nations LeagueCuba2 - 0Bonaire
CONCACAF Nations League
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cuba | 4 | +5 | 8 |
| 2 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 4 | +4 | 8 |
| 3 | Bonaire | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Grenada | 4 | -8 | 3 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Bonaire and Cuba meet on in CONCACAF Nations League.
Venue: Estadio La Polar.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Cuba (74%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Bonaire vs Cuba: preview
Bonaire have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. 8 of Bonaire's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. Cuba have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. Cuba are unbeaten in 8 matches. 5 of Cuba's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
Bonaire are in position 3 with 3 points, Cuba in position 1 with 8 points.
Our pre-match model estimate: Bonaire 10%, draw 16%, Cuba 74%.
Table by result
- A defeat can drop them as low as 4.
- A draw is enough to stay top.
- A defeat can drop them as low as 2.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Bonaire win in 10% of the simulated matches, 16% end level and Cuba win 74%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 0-2 (12%); both teams score in 51%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
