This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CSD Macara took the lead in the 60th minute: Agustin Campana.
The bigger picture
CSD Macara have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. CSD Macara ended CS Emelec's unbeaten run of 3 matches.
Next fixtures
CSD Macara's next match is at home against Barcelona Guayaquil on 31 October. CS Emelec host CD Leones Del Norte next, on 31 October in Serie A, Relegation Round.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.