CS Emelec vs CD Leones Del Norte: the story of the match
44' — CD Leones Del Norte took the lead: 0-1. Mauro Luque scored it. Half time: 0-1.
86' — CD Leones Del Norte extended the lead: 0-2. Mauro Luque scored it. It came in the closing minutes. CD Leones Del Norte won 0-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CS EmelecDrawCD Leones Del Norte
Pre-match model estimate: CS Emelec 52%, draw 25%, CD Leones Del Norte 23%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CS Emelec win in 52% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and CD Leones Del Norte win 23%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 48%. About 10.1 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 21%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Leones Del Norte beat CS Emelec2-0 without conceding at Estadio George Capwell Banco del Austro. Mauro Luque scored twice for CD Leones Del Norte. The half-time score was 0-1.
Key moments
CD Leones Del Norte had a goal ruled out in the 42nd minute. CD Leones Del Norte took the lead on 44 minutes thanks to Mauro Luque. Half-time: 0-1, CD Leones Del Norte in front.
Mauro Luque made it 2-0 for CD Leones Del Norte after 86 minutes.
The statistics
CS Emelec won 3 corners, CD Leones Del Norte 5.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
