Mito HollyHock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the story of the match
21' — Takumi Mase of Mito HollyHock was sent off. 30' — Sanfrecce Hiroshima took the lead: 0-1. Akito Suzuki scored it. Half time: 0-1.
54' — Sanfrecce Hiroshima extended the lead: 0-2. Shuto Nakano scored it. 83' — Sanfrecce Hiroshima extended the lead: 0-3. Daiki Suga scored it. Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 0-3.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Mito HollyHock win in 12% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and Sanfrecce Hiroshima win 70%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 0-2 (12%); both teams score in 50%. About 9.1 corners on average. About 3.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Takumi Mase saw a straight red card in the 21st minute, leaving Mito HollyHock short-handed. Sanfrecce Hiroshima took the lead in the 30th minute: Akito Suzuki. Half-time: 0-1, Sanfrecce Hiroshima in front.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima extended their lead to 2-0 on 54 minutes thanks to Shuto Nakano. Sanfrecce Hiroshima extended their lead to 3-0 on 83 minutes thanks to Daiki Suga.
Match statistics
Corners finished 0-7. Dangerous attacks: 47 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, 20 for Mito HollyHock.
The bigger picture
Mito HollyHock have lost 5 in a row. Sanfrecce Hiroshima beat Mito HollyHock for the first time since 2014.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
