One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Vissel KobeKick-off0-0Nagoya Grampus Eight
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Vissel Kobe win in 48% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Nagoya Grampus Eight win 27%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 55%. About 9.6 corners on average. About 3.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Goals scored per match: 1.5Goals conceded per match: 1.6
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Vissel Kobe won 3-1.
Story
Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus Eight: the story of the match
2' — Nagoya Grampus Eight took the lead: 0-1. Kensuke Nagai scored it. 38' — Vissel Kobe equalised: 1-1. Yoshinori Muto scored it. Half time: 1-1.
47' — Vissel Kobe completed the turnaround: 2-1. An own goal by Ryuji Izumi. 90' — Vissel Kobe extended the lead: 3-1. Ren Komatsu scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Vissel Kobe won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Vissel KobeDrawNagoya Grampus Eight
Pre-match model estimate: Vissel Kobe 48%, draw 25%, Nagoya Grampus Eight 27%.
Vissel Kobe recovered from going behind and won 3-1 against Nagoya Grampus Eight. The top ScoreMondo rating of the match went to Vissel Kobe's Yoshinori Muto: 7.3. The match was played on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at Kobe Wing Stadium in Kobe (matchday 13).
The story of the match
Kensuke Nagai opened the scoring for Nagoya Grampus Eight after 2 minutes. VAR disallowed a Vissel Kobe goal on 6 minutes. Yoshinori Muto equalised for Vissel Kobe at 1-1 after 38 minutes. Half-time: 1-1 between Vissel Kobe and Nagoya Grampus Eight.
Vissel Kobe completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 47 minutes thanks to an own goal from Ryuji Izumi. A Vissel Kobe goal stood after a VAR check in the 48th minute. Nagoya Grampus Eight had a goal ruled out in the 65th minute after a VAR review. The officials disallowed a Vissel Kobe goal on 78 minutes. Vissel Kobe extended their lead to 3-1 in the 90th minute through Ren Komatsu.
Match statistics
Corners finished 8-6. Vissel Kobe committed 5 fouls to Nagoya Grampus Eight's 14, and the offside count read 3-2.
Vissel Kobe's yellow cards went to Tetsushi Yamakawa in the 21st minute. Booked for Nagoya Grampus Eight: Ryuji Izumi (52').
The players
The best ScoreMondo ratings after the player of the match went to Ren Komatsu (Vissel Kobe, 7.0), Kensuke Nagai (Nagoya Grampus Eight, 7.0) and Erik (Vissel Kobe, 6.2). From the Vissel Kobe bench came Daiju Sasaki on 45 minutes, Diego on 45 minutes, Ren Komatsu on 90 minutes and Jean Patric on 97 minutes. Nagoya Grampus Eight made 3 changes: Yuya Yamagishi for Kensuke Nagai (63'), Tsukasa Morishima for Yuki Nogami (78') and Hidemasa Koda for Ryuji Izumi (78').
Before the match
Vissel Kobe came into the match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches. Their most recent game was a 1-0 win over Daejeon Citizen FC for Vissel Kobe. Before kick-off, Nagoya Grampus Eight's last 5 matches had brought 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat. Nagoya Grampus Eight lost 2-1 at home to Urawa Red Diamonds in their last match. Vissel Kobe and Nagoya Grampus Eight have met 4 times in our records: 3 wins for Vissel Kobe and 1 draw. The last meeting, in 2026 in the J1 League, ended in a 3-2 win for Vissel Kobe. Those 4 games produced 15 goals, an average of 3.8 per match.
The bigger picture
The wait for a win goes on for Nagoya Grampus Eight: 4 matches now.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
