Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Jubilo Iwata beat Sagan Tosu 2-0 in J.League 2.
Venue: Yamaha Stadium.
In our records Jubilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu have met 2 times: Jubilo Iwata won 2, 0 ended level and Sagan Tosu won 0.
Their latest meeting (): Sagan Tosu 1-2 Jubilo Iwata.
Match details
Venue
Yamaha Stadium, Iwata
Coaches
Tadahiro Akiba · Akio Kogiku
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Jubilo Iwata
A. Niekawa
Yuri Lara
Danilo Cardoso
D. Kaneko
K. Kuwabara
S. Inoue
R. Uehara
H. Tameda
D. Sato
M. Ohara
R. Ota
Sagan Tosu
S. Matsubara
K. Abe
R. Morishita
T. Ando
M. Yoshida
K. Yamauchi
A. Toyoda
K. Sakamoto
K. Nishizawa
R. Shiohama
T. Takahashi
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Jubilo Iwata won 2-0.
Story
Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
58' — Jubilo Iwata took the lead: 1-0. Matheus Peixoto scored it. 88' — Jubilo Iwata extended the lead: 2-0. M. Ohara scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Jubilo Iwata won 2-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Jubilo Iwata win in 39% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Sagan Tosu win 34%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 51%. About 10.5 corners on average. About 3.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
J.League 2
