Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient: the story of the match
33' — Leyton Orient took the lead: 0-1. Alex Gilbert scored it. Half time: 0-1.
56' — Burton Albion equalised: 1-1. Kgagelo Chauke scored it. 86' — Burton Albion completed the turnaround: 2-1. Will Collar scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Burton Albion won 2-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Burton Albion win in 36% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Leyton Orient win 38%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 54%. About 11.2 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Burton Albion – Leyton Orient match report
Updated:
Leyton Orient let a lead slip and lost 2-1 to Burton Albion at Pirelli Stadium. The attendance at Pirelli Stadium was 3,223.
How the match unfolded
Alex Gilbert opened the scoring for Leyton Orient after 33 minutes. It was Burton Albion 0-1 Leyton Orient at half-time.
Kgagelo Chauke equalised for Burton Albion at 1-1 after 56 minutes. Will Collar turned the game around for Burton Albion at 2-1 after 86 minutes.
The statistics
The shot count read 12-7, 8-5 on target. Corners finished 10-4.
What the result means
Burton Albion climb from 14th to 12th on 17 points. Leyton Orient slip to 16th (14 points), having started the day 12th. A 5-game wait for victory is over for Burton Albion.
What’s next
Next up for Burton Albion: away at Wycombe Wanderers on Saturday 31 October. Leyton Orient's next match is at home against Cambridge United on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League One
