7' — Barnsley took the lead: 0-1. Vimal Yoganathan scored it. Half time: 0-1.
54' — Reading equalised: 1-1. Kyreece Lisbie scored it. 68' — Reading completed the turnaround: 2-1. Kyreece Lisbie scored it. Reading won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
ReadingDrawBarnsley
Pre-match model estimate: Reading 61%, draw 19%, Barnsley 20%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Reading win in 61% of the simulated matches, 19% end level and Barnsley win 20%. Average goals 3.6; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 65%. About 11.4 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Reading – Barnsley match report
Updated:
Barnsley let a lead slip and lost 2-1 to Reading at Madejski Stadium. Kyreece Lisbie scored twice for Reading. 10,670 spectators were at Madejski Stadium.
Key moments
Barnsley took the lead in the 7th minute: Vimal Yoganathan. Half-time: 0-1, Barnsley in front.
Reading drew level at 1-1 on 54 minutes thanks to Kyreece Lisbie. Barnsley had a goal ruled out in the 60th minute. Reading completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 68th minute: Kyreece Lisbie.
Match statistics
Reading had 10 shots (6 on target) to Barnsley's 9 (6). Reading won 6 corners, Barnsley 7.
The bigger picture
Reading stay 6th on 21 points. Barnsley drop from 22nd to 23rd on 8 points. It is now 6 straight defeats for Barnsley. It is Reading's first win against Barnsley since 2021.