Notts County vs Stockport County: the story of the match
11' — Notts County took the lead: 1-0. Scott Robertson scored it. Half time: 1-0.
81' — Stockport County equalised: 1-1. Adama Sidibeh scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Notts CountyDrawStockport County
Pre-match model estimate: Notts County 22%, draw 24%, Stockport County 54%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Notts County win in 22% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Stockport County win 54%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 54%. About 10.6 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Notts County – Stockport County match report
Updated:
Neither Notts County nor Stockport County could find a winner in a 1-1 draw. The half-time score was 1-0. 12,214 spectators were at Meadow Lane.
Key moments
Notts County took the lead in the 11th minute: Scott Robertson. Notts County led 1-0 at the break.
Stockport County drew level at 1-1 in the 81st minute: Adama Sidibeh.
Match statistics
The shot count read 4-9, 3-6 on target. Notts County won 5 corners, Stockport County 8. Stockport County produced 82 dangerous attacks to Notts County's 35.
The bigger picture
The result ends Stockport County's run of 5 straight wins. Across 11 meetings in our records: 3 wins for Notts County, 4 wins for Stockport County and 4 draws.
League One
