Blackpool vs Mansfield Town: the story of the match
17' — Mansfield Town took the lead: 0-1. Michael Smith scored it. 42' — Blackpool equalised: 1-1. Dion Charles scored it. Half time: 1-1.
55' — Mansfield Town went back in front: 1-2. Rhys Oates scored it. 64' — Mansfield Town extended the lead: 1-3. An own goal by Ilmari Niskanen. 78' — Mansfield Town extended the lead: 1-4. Tyler Roberts scored it. Mansfield Town won 1-4.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
BlackpoolDrawMansfield Town
Pre-match model estimate: Blackpool 38%, draw 23%, Mansfield Town 39%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Blackpool win in 38% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Mansfield Town win 39%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 61%. About 11.0 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Mansfield Town took the lead on 17 minutes thanks to Michael Smith. Blackpool drew level at 1-1 in the 42nd minute: Dion Charles. Half-time: 1-1 between Blackpool and Mansfield Town.
Rhys Oates put Mansfield Town 2-1 ahead after 55 minutes. Mansfield Town extended their lead to 3-1 on 64 minutes thanks to an own goal from Ilmari Niskanen. Mansfield Town extended their lead to 4-1 on 78 minutes thanks to Tyler Roberts.
Match statistics
Blackpool had 8 shots (7 on target) to Mansfield Town's 11 (6). Blackpool won 6 corners, Mansfield Town 7. Blackpool produced 78 dangerous attacks to Mansfield Town's 56.
What the result means
Blackpool drop from 17th to 20th on 11 points. The result lifts Mansfield Town to 10th with 18 points, up from 11th. Mansfield Town extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches.
What’s next
Blackpool visit Sheffield Wednesday next, on 1 November in the League One. Next up for Mansfield Town: home to Notts County on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League One
