8' — Bournemouth took the lead: 1-0. Justin Kluivert scored from the penalty spot. 27' — Mike Maignan of AC Milan was sent off. 32' — Bournemouth extended the lead: 2-0. Marcus Tavernier scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 2-0.
84' — Bournemouth extended the lead: 3-0. Amine Adli scored it. Bournemouth won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
BournemouthDrawAC Milan
Pre-match model estimate: Bournemouth 44%, draw 25%, AC Milan 31%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Bournemouth win in 44% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and AC Milan win 31%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 57%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AC Milan were beaten 3-0 by a rampant Bournemouth. The half-time score was 2-0.
How the match unfolded
Bournemouth took the lead in the 8th minute: Justin Kluivert from the penalty spot. AC Milan had a player sent off on 27 minutes: Mike Maignan. Bournemouth extended their lead to 2-0 on 32 minutes thanks to Marcus Tavernier from the penalty spot. Half-time: 2-0, Bournemouth in front.
Bournemouth extended their lead to 3-0 on 84 minutes thanks to Amine Adli.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 8-2, 3-0 on target. Bournemouth won 6 corners, AC Milan 4. Bournemouth produced 238 dangerous attacks to AC Milan's 108.
What it means
In the table, Bournemouth are 3rd with 9 points. AC Milan sit 24th on 3 points in the standings. Bournemouth have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Bournemouth ended AC Milan's unbeaten run of 4 matches.
UEFA Europa League
