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Salgueiro AC and Facilnet PE are playing now in Campeonato Pernambucano A1; the score is 2-1.
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards. Match in progress — new decisions appear here.
Last update:
Live data; the result is verified after full time.
The model gives Facilnet PE a 38% chance of winning right now.
Why it matters: Fresh goal
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: Salgueiro AC 25%, draw 27%, Facilnet PE 48%.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Half time: 2-0.
Our model right now: Salgueiro AC 35%, draw 27%, Facilnet PE 38%.
What the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Salgueiro AC win in 25% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Facilnet PE win 48%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 0-1 (14%); both teams score in 46%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ScoreMondo · Last update:
Salgueiro AC 2-1 Facilnet PE, in progress.
It was Salgueiro AC 2-0 Facilnet PE at half-time.
By half: 2-0 and 0-1.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Campeonato Pernambucano A1
