West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
51' — West Bromwich Albion took the lead: 1-0. Isaac Price scored it. 78' — West Bromwich Albion extended the lead: 2-0. Jayson Molumby scored it. 89' — West Bromwich Albion extended the lead: 3-0. Felix Horn Myhre scored it. It came in the closing minutes. West Bromwich Albion won 3-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
West Bromwich AlbionDrawMillwall
Pre-match model estimate: West Bromwich Albion 50%, draw 25%, Millwall 25%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): West Bromwich Albion win in 50% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Millwall win 25%. Average goals 2.7; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 52%. About 10.4 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 14%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
West Bromwich Albion took the lead in the 51st minute: Isaac Price. West Bromwich Albion extended their lead to 2-0 on 78 minutes thanks to Jayson Molumby. Late on, in the 89th minute, West Bromwich Albion extended their lead to 3-0 through Felix Horn Myhre, set up by Isaac Price.
What the numbers say
West Bromwich Albion had 6 shots (5 on target) to Millwall's 5 (2). Corners finished 7-4. Dangerous attacks: 55 for West Bromwich Albion, 36 for Millwall.
What it means
West Bromwich Albion climb from 6th to 5th on 28 points. Millwall slip to 16th (18 points), having started the day 13th. West Bromwich Albion are now unbeaten in 6 matches. West Bromwich Albion had not beaten Millwall in any of the previous 10 meetings we have.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
