Atletico MG vs Corinthians SP kick-off time: 22 Nov 2026
Brasileiro Serie A
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 1-0 (15%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Last 5 · Recent meetings
More- Atletico MGDDLLLNo win in 7 matches
- Corinthians SPDWLDL
- Serie ACorinthians SP1 - 0Atletico MG
- Serie ACorinthians SP1 - 0Atletico MG
- Serie AAtletico MG0 - 0Corinthians SP
- Per match
- Corners won6.4·6.5
- Yellow cards1.8·3.0
Brasileiro Serie A
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico MG | 34 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians SP | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FB Porto Alegrense | 34 | -9 | 37 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Atletico MG and Corinthians SP meet on in Brasileiro Serie A.
In our records Atletico MG and Corinthians SP have met 5 times: Atletico MG won 1, 2 ended level and Corinthians SP won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Corinthians SP 1-0 Atletico MG.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Atletico MG 1.4 – 0.8 Corinthians SP. Most frequent scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Both teams score in 41% of the simulated matches.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- Atletico MG: the stronger side on our resultsAMclear
- Atletico MG: home advantage in this competitionAMstrong
- Atletico MG: plays in a continental competition this season; such teams have done a little better in their other matches than our model expectedAMstrong
Also considered
- Corinthians SP: last match 3 days ago (short rest)
- Corinthians SP: in the drop zone; 4 matches left
In our past matches these circumstances did not measurably improve the prediction, so they do not change the percentages.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Atletico MG.
Preview
Atletico MG vs Corinthians SP: preview
Atletico MG have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Atletico MG have not won in 7 matches. 3 of Atletico MG's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3. Corinthians SP have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 5 of Corinthians SP's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.
In their last 5 meetings, Atletico MG won 1, 2 ended level and Corinthians SP won 2.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
