US Amal Tiznit vs CODM Meknes: the story of the match
16' — CODM Meknes took the lead: 0-1. A. Lakhlifi scored it. Half time: 0-1.
83' — CODM Meknes extended the lead: 0-2. T. Razko scored it. 85' — US Amal Tiznit pulled one back: 1-2. Z. Essalhi scored it. It came in the closing minutes. CODM Meknes won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
US Amal TiznitDrawCODM Meknes
Pre-match model estimate: US Amal Tiznit 26%, draw 29%, CODM Meknes 45%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): US Amal Tiznit win in 26% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and CODM Meknes win 45%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 0-1 (15%); both teams score in 42%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CODM Meknes took the lead on 16 minutes thanks to A. Lakhlifi, set up by S. El Morsli. CODM Meknes led 1-0 at the break.
CODM Meknes extended their lead to 2-0 on 83 minutes thanks to T. Razko. Just 2 minutes later (85') US Amal Tiznit pulled one back to make it 1-2, Z. Essalhi on target, set up by K. Noureddine. The officials disallowed a US Amal Tiznit goal on 87 minutes.
Match statistics
US Amal Tiznit had 7 shots (5 on target) to CODM Meknes' 4 (3). Corners finished 7-3.
What it means
US Amal Tiznit have now scored in 6 consecutive matches.
What’s next
US Amal Tiznit visit UTS Rabat next, on 6 November in the Botola 1. Next up for CODM Meknes: away at MAT Moghreb Tetouan on Saturday 7 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Botola 1
