Urawa Red Diamonds vs V-Varen Nagasaki: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
71' — Urawa Red Diamonds took the lead: 1-0. Matheus Sávio scored it. Urawa Red Diamonds won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawV-Varen Nagasaki
Pre-match model estimate: Urawa Red Diamonds 59%, draw 22%, V-Varen Nagasaki 19%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Urawa Red Diamonds win in 59% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and V-Varen Nagasaki win 19%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-0 (11%); both teams score in 52%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 3.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Urawa Red Diamonds – V-Varen Nagasaki match report
Half-time: 0-0 between Urawa Red Diamonds and V-Varen Nagasaki.
Urawa Red Diamonds took the lead on 71 minutes thanks to Matheus Sávio.
Match statistics
Urawa Red Diamonds won 7 corners, V-Varen Nagasaki 4.
What the result means
The result lifts Urawa Red Diamonds to 7th with 21 points, up from 8th. V-Varen Nagasaki stay 14th on 12 points. Urawa Red Diamonds have now won 4 in a row. It is Urawa Red Diamonds' first win over V-Varen Nagasaki in the last 3 meetings on record.
Next fixtures
Next up for Urawa Red Diamonds: away at Nagoya Grampus Eight on Wednesday 28 October. V-Varen Nagasaki's next match is at home against Tokyo Verdy on 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
J1 League
