FC Tokyo vs Mito HollyHock: the story of the match
31' — FC Tokyo took the lead: 1-0. Teruhito Nakagawa scored it. Half time: 1-0.
46' — FC Tokyo extended the lead: 2-0. Teruhito Nakagawa scored it. 66' — FC Tokyo extended the lead: 3-0. Soma Anzai scored it. 70' — FC Tokyo extended the lead: 4-0. Dani Gómez scored it. 77' — FC Tokyo extended the lead: 5-0. Alexander Scholz scored it. 90' — FC Tokyo extended the lead: 6-0. Marcelo Ryan scored it. It came in the closing minutes. FC Tokyo won 6-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC TokyoDrawMito HollyHock
Pre-match model estimate: FC Tokyo 75%, draw 17%, Mito HollyHock 8%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Tokyo win in 75% of the simulated matches, 17% end level and Mito HollyHock win 8%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 2-0 (15%); both teams score in 40%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 3.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Tokyo took the lead on 31 minutes thanks to Teruhito Nakagawa. FC Tokyo led 1-0 at the break.
FC Tokyo extended their lead to 2-0 in the 46th minute: Teruhito Nakagawa. FC Tokyo extended their lead to 3-0 in the 66th minute: Soma Anzai. Dani Gómez made it 4-0 for FC Tokyo after 70 minutes. FC Tokyo extended their lead to 5-0 on 77 minutes thanks to Alexander Scholz. Late on, in the 90th minute, FC Tokyo extended their lead to 6-0 through Marcelo Ryan.
The statistics
FC Tokyo won 7 corners, Mito HollyHock 5.
What the result means
FC Tokyo stay 2nd on 27 points. Mito HollyHock drop from 16th to 17th on 9 points.
What’s next
Next up for FC Tokyo: away at Fagiano Okayama FC on Saturday 31 October. Mito HollyHock's next match is at home against Cerezo Osaka on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
J1 League
