Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Ichihara Chiba: the story of the match
23' — JEF United Ichihara Chiba took the lead: 0-1. Makoto Himeno scored it. Half time: 0-1.
47' — JEF United Ichihara Chiba extended the lead: 0-2. Erison scored it. 90' — Cerezo Osaka pulled one back: 1-2. It came in the closing minutes. 90' — Cerezo Osaka equalised: 2-2. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 2-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Cerezo OsakaDrawJEF United Ichihara Chiba
Pre-match model estimate: Cerezo Osaka 56%, draw 23%, JEF United Ichihara Chiba 21%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Cerezo Osaka win in 56% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and JEF United Ichihara Chiba win 21%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 55%. About 9.1 corners on average. About 3.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Cerezo Osaka – JEF United Ichihara Chiba match report
JEF United Ichihara Chiba took the lead on 23 minutes thanks to Makoto Himeno. JEF United Ichihara Chiba led 1-0 at the break.
JEF United Ichihara Chiba extended their lead to 2-0 on 47 minutes thanks to Erison. Late on, in the 90th minute, Cerezo Osaka pulled one back to make it 1-2. Late on, in the 90th minute, Cerezo Osaka drew level at 2-2.
Match statistics
Corners finished 5-2. Dangerous attacks: 55 for Cerezo Osaka, 39 for JEF United Ichihara Chiba.
What the result means
Cerezo Osaka climb from 13th to 12th on 14 points. JEF United Ichihara Chiba slip to 20th (7 points), having started the day 19th. Cerezo Osaka have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. The wait for a win goes on for JEF United Ichihara Chiba: 8 matches now. Across 11 meetings in our records: 3 wins for Cerezo Osaka, 5 wins for JEF United Ichihara Chiba and 3 draws.
Coming up
Cerezo Osaka visit Mito HollyHock next, on 28 October. Next up for JEF United Ichihara Chiba: home to Avispa Fukuoka on Sunday 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
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