Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
SD Solares beat CD Guarnizo 1-0 in Tercera Federacion, Group 12.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: SD Solares won 1-0.
Story
SD Solares vs CD Guarnizo: the story of the match
34' — SD Solares took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0.
SD Solares won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SD SolaresDrawCD Guarnizo
Pre-match model estimate: SD Solares 32%, draw 28%, CD Guarnizo 40%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): SD Solares win in 32% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and CD Guarnizo win 40%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (14%); both teams score in 49%. About 9.1 corners on average. About 5.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
