This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Erbil SC win in 50% of the simulated matches, 26% end level and Kazma SC win 24%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 1-0 (12%); both teams score in 49%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Erbil SC thrashed Kazma SC6-0 in the AGCFF Gulf Club Champions League. The half-time score was 2-0.
The story of the match
Erbil SC took the lead on 28 minutes. Erbil SC extended their lead to 2-0 on 45 minutes. It was Erbil SC 2-0 Kazma SC at half-time.
Erbil SC extended their lead to 3-0 on 48 minutes. Erbil SC extended their lead to 4-0 on 58 minutes. Erbil SC extended their lead to 5-0 on 75 minutes. Erbil SC extended their lead to 6-0 on 83 minutes.
Match statistics
On target it was 12-2, from 14 and 3 attempts respectively. Corners finished 8-1. Erbil SC produced 64 dangerous attacks to Kazma SC's 23.
What it means
In the table, Erbil SC are 1st with 6 points. Kazma SC sit 4th on 0 points in the standings. Erbil SC end a run of 5 matches without a win. Kazma SC's run of 3 matches with a goal comes to an end. It is Erbil SC's first win against Kazma SC since 2012.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
