Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CD Manchego Ciudad Real beat CD Illescas 4-1 in Tercera Federacion, Group 12.
In our records CD Manchego Ciudad Real and CD Illescas have met 2 times: CD Manchego Ciudad Real won 1, 1 ended level and CD Illescas won 0.
Their latest meeting (): CD Illescas 0-0 CD Manchego Ciudad Real.
Match decisions & VAR
90'Penalty awardedCD Manchego Ciudad RealDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: CD Manchego Ciudad Real won 4-1.
Story
CD Manchego Ciudad Real vs CD Illescas: the story of the match
20' — CD Illescas took the lead: 0-1. 25' — CD Manchego Ciudad Real equalised: 1-1. 26' — CD Manchego Ciudad Real completed the turnaround: 2-1. Half time: 2-1.
48' — CD Manchego Ciudad Real extended the lead: 3-1. 90' — CD Manchego Ciudad Real extended the lead: 4-1. It came in the closing minutes. CD Manchego Ciudad Real won 4-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD Manchego Ciudad RealDrawCD Illescas
Pre-match model estimate: CD Manchego Ciudad Real 42%, draw 29%, CD Illescas 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Manchego Ciudad Real win in 42% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and CD Illescas win 29%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 1-0 (14%); both teams score in 44%. About 9.0 corners on average. About 5.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Manchego Ciudad Real – CD Illescas match report
CD Illescas took the lead on 20 minutes. CD Manchego Ciudad Real drew level at 1-1 on 25 minutes. Just 1 minutes later (26') CD Manchego Ciudad Real completed the turnaround at 2-1. CD Manchego Ciudad Real led 2-1 at the break.
CD Manchego Ciudad Real extended their lead to 3-1 on 48 minutes. Late on, in the 90th minute, CD Manchego Ciudad Real extended their lead to 4-1.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
