AEK Athens vs Real Madrid, 04/11/2026 17:45 – live score
UEFA Champions League
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- AEK AthensWLLWWScored in 12 matches in a row
- Real MadridWWWWWScored in 9 matches in a row
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
AEK Athens and Real Madrid meet on in UEFA Champions League.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model sees the two sides as close.
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
AEK Athens vs Real Madrid: preview
AEK Athens have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. AEK Athens have scored in 12 matches in a row. 7 of AEK Athens's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. Real Madrid have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. Real Madrid have scored in 9 matches in a row. 8 of Real Madrid's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 8.
Our pre-match model estimate: AEK Athens 38%, draw 22%, Real Madrid 40%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): AEK Athens win in 38% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Real Madrid win 40%. Average goals 3.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 66%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
