Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Al Khor won 0-3.
Story
Qatar U23 vs Al Khor: the story of the match
Qatar U23 started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 9' — Al Khor took the lead: 0-1. 31' — Qatar U23 had a player sent off. Half time: 0-1, with Qatar U23 applying more of the pressure.
65' — Al Khor extended the lead: 0-2. 79' — Al Khor extended the lead: 0-3. After 76' the momentum swung to Al Khor. Al Khor won 0-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Qatar U23DrawAl Khor
Pre-match model estimate: Qatar U23 29%, draw 24%, Al Khor 47%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Qatar U23Al Khor
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min00
Last 15 min049
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Qatar U23 win in 29% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Al Khor win 47%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 60%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 3-0 rout: Al Khor swept Qatar U23 aside. The half-time score was 0-1.
How the match unfolded
The early pressure came from Qatar U23, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. Al Khor took the lead on 9 minutes. Qatar U23 had a player sent off on 31 minutes. Half-time: 0-1, Al Khor in front.
Al Khor extended their lead to 2-0 on 65 minutes. Al Khor took over after the 76th minute, pinning Qatar U23 back. Al Khor extended their lead to 3-0 on 79 minutes. Al Khor had a goal ruled out in the 85th minute after a VAR review.
Match statistics
On target it was 2-5, from 2 and 7 attempts respectively. Qatar U23 won 2 corners, Al Khor 6.
The bigger picture
Qatar U23 stay 9th on 6 points. The result lifts Al Khor to 2nd with 12 points, up from 3rd.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
