Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
PanamaKick-off0-0Curacao
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Panama 1.8 – 0.7 Curacao. Most frequent scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Both teams score in 43% of the simulated matches. About 9.4 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 21%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
PanamaCuracao
Curacao: the stronger side on our resultsCUclear
Panama: home advantage in this competitionPAclear
Also considered
Panama: last match 3 days ago (short rest)
Curacao: last match 3 days ago (short rest)
In our past matches these circumstances did not measurably improve the prediction, so they do not change the percentages.
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Panama and Curacao meet in the CONCACAF Nations League at 23:00 on Sunday 15 November. The referee is M. Ortiz, who averages 3.8 yellow cards per match across 67 games we have data for.
Form guide
PanamaDDDDLCuracaoDDWWW
Recent form for Panama: 4 draws and 1 defeat in 5, with 3 goals for and 5 against. Panama have gone 8 matches without a win. Panama's recent home record reads 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Panama average 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game over their last 10.
Curacao come into it with 3 wins and 2 draws from 5 matches. Curacao are unbeaten in 5 matches. On the road, Curacao have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches, with a goal tally of 7-15. Across 10 matches, Curacao have scored 1.7 and let in 1.6 goals per match on average.
Head to head
The record between them over the last 4 matches reads 2-2-0 from Panama's point of view. When they last met, on 13 November 2026, it ended 0-0. Curacao have not beaten Panama in 4 matches.
CONCACAF Nations League
United States
