Milton Keynes Dons vs Bromley FC: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 40' — Milton Keynes Dons took the lead: 1-0. Aaron Collins scored it. 45' — Bromley FC equalised: 1-1. Mitchell Pinnock scored it. Half time: 1-1, with Milton Keynes Dons applying more of the pressure.
62' — Milton Keynes Dons went back in front: 2-1. Aaron Collins scored it. 71' — Milton Keynes Dons extended the lead: 3-1. Alex Gilbey scored it. 79' — Milton Keynes Dons extended the lead: 4-1. Charlie Goode scored it. Milton Keynes Dons won 4-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Milton Keynes DonsDrawBromley FC
Pre-match model estimate: Milton Keynes Dons 66%, draw 20%, Bromley FC 14%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Milton Keynes DonsBromley FC
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min4663
Last 15 min3734
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Milton Keynes Dons win in 66% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Bromley FC win 14%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 50%. About 11.3 corners on average. About 3.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Milton Keynes Dons took the lead on 40 minutes thanks to Aaron Collins. Bromley FC drew level at 1-1 on 45 minutes thanks to Mitchell Pinnock. The first half ended 1-1, with Milton Keynes Dons the side applying more pressure.
Milton Keynes Dons went 2-1 up in the 62nd minute: Aaron Collins. Milton Keynes Dons extended their lead to 3-1 on 71 minutes thanks to Alex Gilbey. Milton Keynes Dons extended their lead to 4-1 on 79 minutes thanks to Charlie Goode.
The statistics
The shot count read 14-6, 8-3 on target. Milton Keynes Dons won 7 corners, Bromley FC 5. Milton Keynes Dons produced 52 dangerous attacks to Bromley FC's 28.
What the result means
The result lifts Milton Keynes Dons to 14th with 15 points, up from 18th. Bromley FC stay 22nd on 9 points. Bromley FC have now gone 7 matches without a win.
Next fixtures
Milton Keynes Dons' next match is at home against Doncaster Rovers on 31 October. Bromley FC visit Wigan Athletic next, on 31 October in the League One.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League One
