Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic: the story of the match
Leicester City started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 17' — Leicester City took the lead: 1-0. Emil Riis Jakobsen scored it. Half time: 1-0, with Leicester City applying more of the pressure.
67' — Leicester City extended the lead: 2-0. Emil Riis Jakobsen scored it. 92' — Leicester City extended the lead: 3-0. Bobby De Cordova-Reid scored from the penalty spot. It came in the closing minutes. After 91' the momentum swung to Wigan Athletic. Leicester City won 3-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Leicester CityDrawWigan Athletic
Pre-match model estimate: Leicester City 68%, draw 18%, Wigan Athletic 14%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Leicester CityWigan Athletic
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min4678
Last 15 min3953
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Leicester City win in 68% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and Wigan Athletic win 14%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 2-0 (10%); both teams score in 53%. About 11.5 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The early pressure came from Leicester City, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. Leicester City took the lead in the 17th minute: Emil Riis Jakobsen. Leicester City led 1-0 at the break.
Emil Riis Jakobsen made it 2-0 for Leicester City after 67 minutes. Wigan Athletic took over after the 91st minute, pinning Leicester City back. Late on, in the 92nd minute, Leicester City extended their lead to 3-0 through Bobby De Cordova-Reid from the penalty spot.
Match statistics
The shot count read 11-4, 5-2 on target. Leicester City won 7 corners, Wigan Athletic 3.
What the result means
The result lifts Leicester City to 11th with 18 points, up from 13th. Wigan Athletic stay 24th on 7 points. Leicester City have now scored in 9 consecutive matches. Wigan Athletic's run of 3 matches with a goal comes to an end. It is Leicester City's first win against Wigan Athletic since 2020.
Next fixtures
Next up for Leicester City: home to Stevenage on Saturday 31 October. Wigan Athletic's next match is at home against Bromley FC on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League One
