Oxford United vs Stockport County: the story of the match
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 35' — Oxford United took the lead: 1-0. Mark Harris scored it. Half time: 1-0.
After 46' the momentum swung to Stockport County. Oxford United won 1-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Oxford UnitedDrawStockport County
Pre-match model estimate: Oxford United 29%, draw 23%, Stockport County 48%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Oxford UnitedStockport County
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min063
Last 15 min2839
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Oxford United win in 29% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Stockport County win 48%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 60%. About 11.3 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Oxford United – Stockport County match report
Updated:
Oxford United beat Stockport County1-0 without conceding at The Kassam Stadium. The attendance at The Kassam Stadium was 9,602.
How the match unfolded
The officials disallowed a Oxford United goal on 11 minutes. Mark Harris opened the scoring for Oxford United after 35 minutes. It was Oxford United 1-0 Stockport County at half-time.
From the 46th minute the pressure shifted towards Stockport County.
Match statistics
On target it was 5-3, from 7 and 7 attempts respectively. Corners finished 3-7. Dangerous attacks: 50 for Stockport County, 32 for Oxford United.
What the result means
Oxford United climb from 7th to 3rd on 22 points. Stockport County remain 2nd, now with 23 points. Oxford United are now unbeaten in 9 matches. Stockport County's 7-match unbeaten run is over. Oxford United beat Stockport County for the first time since 1999.
Next fixtures
Next up for Oxford United: away at Barnsley on Saturday 31 October. Stockport County's next match is at home against AFC Wimbledon on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
League One
