We had a Liverpool win as the most likely outcome; the match went another way.
✗ Liverpool 38%✗ Most likely score 1-2
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
Liverpool vs Chelsea: the story of the match
40' — Chelsea took the lead: 0-1. Morgan Rogers scored from the penalty spot. 43' — Liverpool equalised: 1-1. Cody Gakpo scored from the penalty spot. Half time: 1-1.
The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
LiverpoolDrawChelsea
Pre-match model estimate: Liverpool 38%, draw 24%, Chelsea 38%.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Liverpool win in 38% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Chelsea win 38%. Average goals 3.0; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 61%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
It finished 1-1 between Liverpool and Chelsea at Anfield. The top ScoreMondo rating of the match went to Chelsea's Morgan Rogers: 6.5.
How the match unfolded
Morgan Rogers opened the scoring for Chelsea after 40 minutes. Cody Gakpo equalised for Liverpool at 1-1 after 43 minutes. It was Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea at half-time.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 7-6, 4-4 on target. Liverpool led on expected goals, 1.13 to 0.80. Corners finished 7-5. The referee showed 4 yellow cards, 2 to Liverpool and 2 to Chelsea.
What it means
Liverpool's winning streak stops at 4. Across 9 meetings in our records: 2 wins for Liverpool, 2 wins for Chelsea and 5 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
