Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Ibis SC and Sete de Setembro EC PE drew 1-1 in Pernambucano, Group A.
In our records Ibis SC and Sete de Setembro EC PE have met 2 times: Ibis SC won 0, 1 ended level and Sete de Setembro EC PE won 1.
Their latest meeting (): Ibis SC 0-0 Sete de Setembro EC PE.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
Ibis SC vs Sete de Setembro EC PE: the story of the match
Ibis SC started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 9' — Ibis SC took the lead: 1-0. Half time: 1-0, with Ibis SC applying more of the pressure.
48' — Sete de Setembro EC PE equalised: 1-1. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Ibis SCDrawSete de Setembro EC PE
Pre-match model estimate: Ibis SC 82%, draw 13%, Sete de Setembro EC PE 5%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
Ibis SCSete de Setembro EC PE
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min9958
Last 15 min9928
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Ibis SC win in 82% of the simulated matches, 13% end level and Sete de Setembro EC PE win 5%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 2-0 (14%); both teams score in 38%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The early pressure came from Ibis SC, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. Ibis SC took the lead on 9 minutes. Half-time: 1-0, Ibis SC in front.
Sete de Setembro EC PE drew level at 1-1 on 48 minutes.
What the numbers say
Ibis SC had 20 shots (13 on target) to Sete de Setembro EC PE's 8 (5). Ibis SC won 7 corners, Sete de Setembro EC PE 4. 8 saves came from the Sete de Setembro EC PE goalkeeper. Ibis SC produced 300 dangerous attacks to Sete de Setembro EC PE's 109.
What the result means
In the table, Ibis SC are 2nd with 9 points. Sete de Setembro EC PE sit 6th on 2 points in the standings. Ibis SC extend their unbeaten run to 5 matches. Sete de Setembro EC PE have now gone 11 matches without a win. Across 3 meetings in our records: 1 win for Sete de Setembro EC PE and 2 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Pernambucano, Group A
