Pressure minute by minute, from attacks, dangerous attacks, shots and corners.
About this match
HB Koge and Aalborg BK are playing now in 1st Division; the score is 1-1.
Venue: Capelli Sport Stadion.
Referee: F. Klarlund.
In our records HB Koge and Aalborg BK have met 10 times: HB Koge won 0, 2 ended level and Aalborg BK won 8.
Their latest meeting (): Aalborg BK 0-0 HB Koge.
Match decisions & VAR
10'Review overVAR review · incidentDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards. Match in progress — new decisions appear here.
Live analysis
Live ·
Last update:
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationyes
Pressure datamatch statistics
Model estimateyes
Live data; the result is verified after full time.
An even contest (1-1): both sides' pressure close over the last 5 minutes.
Why it matters: Late and close
Chances to win
Model estimate
18%66%16%
HB Koge18%Draw66%Aalborg BK16%
Next goal20%HB Koge62%No goal18%Aalborg BK
18%66%16%
Start45'90'
HB KogeDrawAalborg BK
Pre-match model estimate: HB Koge 30%, draw 24%, Aalborg BK 46%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
HB KogeAalborg BK
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min00
Last 15 min270
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2 (no dangerous-attack data for this match).
If this score holds
HB Koge10▲1
HB Koge climb one place (11 → 10).
Between position 9 and 11, depending on the other live matches.
Win9Draw9–11Loss11–12
Aalborg BK5▲1
Aalborg BK climb one place (6 → 5).
Position 5 whatever happens in the other matches.
Win5Draw5Loss5–6
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Story
HB Koge vs Aalborg BK: so far
Neither side took control in the first 15 minutes. 10' — Aalborg BK took the lead: 0-1. N. A. Arnorsson scored it. Half time: 0-1.
49' — HB Koge equalised: 1-1. F. Isaki scored it. After 61' the momentum swung to HB Koge. HB Koge have pressed harder over the last 15 minutes: pressure index 27 against 0. Our model right now: HB Koge 18%, draw 66%, Aalborg BK 16%.
Previous meetings and form
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): HB Koge win in 30% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Aalborg BK win 46%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 57%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 3.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
1st Division
