Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
Fulham U21 beat Stoke City U21 4-1 in Premier League 2.
Venue: Clayton Wood.
Referee: L. Doughty.
In our records Stoke City U21 and Fulham U21 have met 3 times: Stoke City U21 won 1, 0 ended level and Fulham U21 won 2.
Their latest meeting (): Stoke City U21 3-2 Fulham U21.
Match details
Venue
Clayton Wood, Stoke on Trent
Referee
L. Doughty (England) 4.61 yellow and 0.10 red cards per match over 51 matches
Coaches
Warren Joyce · Charlie Daniels
Match decisions & VAR
48'Penalty awardedFulham U21Decision
65'Goal disallowedFulham U21Decision · Score 1-4
67'Goal disallowedStoke City U21Decision · Score 1-4
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Stoke City U21
L. Knight
A. Dauda
J. Mears
S. Agina
F. Anderson
G. Morrison
N. Pinder
F. Nixon
T. Achu
T. Martin
L. Bradbury
Fulham U21
M. Allen
L. Cooke
M. Gomins
B. Slade
A. White
C. Nwoko
S. Chingwaro
M. Zepa
D. Casey
T. Works
J. Sani
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: Fulham U21 won 1-4.
Story
Stoke City U21 vs Fulham U21: the story of the match
8' — Fulham U21 took the lead: 0-1. D. Casey scored it. 23' — Fulham U21 extended the lead: 0-2. T. Works scored it. Half time: 0-2.
48' — Fulham U21 extended the lead: 0-3. T. Works scored it. 54' — Fulham U21 extended the lead: 0-4. J. Sani scored it. 65' — Stoke City U21 pulled one back: 1-4. F. Nixon scored it. Fulham U21 won 1-4.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Stoke City U21DrawFulham U21
Pre-match model estimate: Stoke City U21 27%, draw 21%, Fulham U21 52%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Stoke City U21 win in 27% of the simulated matches, 21% end level and Fulham U21 win 52%. Average goals 3.7; the most likely score is 1-2 (9%); both teams score in 69%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 12%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 4-1 rout: Fulham U21 swept Stoke City U21 aside at Clayton Wood. T. Works scored twice for Fulham U21. The half-time score was 0-2.
Key moments
Fulham U21 took the lead in the 8th minute: D. Casey. Fulham U21 extended their lead to 2-0 in the 23rd minute: T. Works, set up by L. Cooke. It was Stoke City U21 0-2 Fulham U21 at half-time.
Fulham U21 extended their lead to 3-0 in the 48th minute: T. Works, set up by B. Slade. J. Sani made it 4-0 for Fulham U21 after 54 minutes, set up by T. Works. Fulham U21 had a goal ruled out in the 65th minute. Stoke City U21 pulled one back to make it 1-4 on 65 minutes thanks to F. Nixon. The officials disallowed a Stoke City U21 goal on 67 minutes.
Match statistics
The shot count read 5-24, 4-8 on target. Stoke City U21 won 8 corners, Fulham U21 5.
The bigger picture
Stoke City U21 have now gone 9 matches without a win. Fulham U21 have now scored in 12 consecutive matches.
Coming up
Next up for Fulham U21: away at Stevenage on Tuesday 10 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
