Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
HB Koge and Aalborg BK drew 1-1 in 1st Division.
Venue: Capelli Sport Stadion.
Referee: F. Klarlund.
In our records HB Koge and Aalborg BK have met 10 times: HB Koge won 0, 2 ended level and Aalborg BK won 8.
Their latest meeting (): Aalborg BK 0-0 HB Koge.
Match details
Venue
Capelli Sport Stadion, Koge
Referee
F. Klarlund 3.17 yellow and 0.00 red cards per match over 6 matches
Coaches
Nicklas Pedersen · –
Match decisions & VAR
10'Review overVAR review · incidentDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
HB Koge
N. Sommergaard
M. Westergren
M. Jakobsen
L. Bust
V. Sorensen
M. Romer
M. Jensen
R. Brodersen
F. Isaki
T. Thomsen
G. Culhaci
Aalborg BK
V. Muller
A. Hapnes
P. Sondergaard
B. Tiedemann
E. Makolli
A. Jasson
N. A. Arnorsson
K. Normann
V. Moller
M. Kubel
J. Adedeji
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
HB Koge vs Aalborg BK: the story of the match
10' — Aalborg BK took the lead: 0-1. N. A. Arnorsson scored it. Half time: 0-1.
49' — HB Koge equalised: 1-1. F. Isaki scored it. The match ended 1-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
HB KogeDrawAalborg BK
Pre-match model estimate: HB Koge 30%, draw 24%, Aalborg BK 46%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): HB Koge win in 30% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Aalborg BK win 46%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 57%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 3.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 15%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Neither HB Koge nor Aalborg BK could find a winner in a 1-1 draw. The half-time score was 0-1.
The story of the match
Aalborg BK took the lead in the 10th minute: N. A. Arnorsson, set up by J. Adedeji. Half-time: 0-1, Aalborg BK in front.
HB Koge drew level at 1-1 in the 49th minute: F. Isaki, set up by M. Jensen.
What the numbers say
HB Koge won 8 corners, Aalborg BK 7.
What it means
HB Koge stay 11th on 12 points. The result lifts Aalborg BK to 6th with 16 points, up from 8th. HB Koge have now gone 4 matches without a win. The wait for a win goes on for Aalborg BK: 7 matches now. Across 11 meetings in our records: 8 wins for Aalborg BK and 3 draws.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
1st Division
