25' — FC RFS took the lead: 1-0. S. Panić scored from the penalty spot. 27' — FC RFS extended the lead: 2-0. D. Lemajić scored it. Half time: 2-0.
74' — FC RFS extended the lead: 3-0. D. Zelenkovs scored it. FC RFS won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC RFSDrawGrobinas SC
Pre-match model estimate: FC RFS 88%, draw 8%, Grobinas SC 4%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC RFS win in 88% of the simulated matches, 8% end level and Grobinas SC win 4%. Average goals 3.8; the most likely score is 3-0 (12%); both teams score in 42%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The officials disallowed a Grobinas SC goal on 25 minutes. S. Panić opened the scoring for FC RFS after 25 minutes. Just 2 minutes later (27') FC RFS extended their lead to 2-0, D. Lemajić on target, set up by Alfa Baldé. Half-time: 2-0, FC RFS in front.
FC RFS extended their lead to 3-0 on 74 minutes thanks to D. Zelenkovs.
Match statistics
Corners finished 5-2. Dangerous attacks: 94 for FC RFS, 33 for Grobinas SC.
The bigger picture
FC RFS remain 1st, now with 89 points. Grobinas SC stay 8th on 29 points. That is 5 straight wins for FC RFS. Grobinas SC's run of 4 matches with a goal comes to an end.
What’s next
FC RFS' next match is away to Riga FC on 8 November. Grobinas SC host FK Liepaja next, on 8 November in the Virsliga.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Virsliga
