One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Preparing the simulation…
Grobinas SCKick-off0-0FK Liepaja
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Grobinas SC win in 21% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and FK Liepaja win 57%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-2 (10%); both teams score in 57%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 19%.
Goals scored per match: 1.5Goals conceded per match: 1.2
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: FK Liepaja won 1-2.
Story
Grobinas SC vs FK Liepaja: the story of the match
21' — Grobinas SC took the lead: 1-0. A. Puzirevskis scored it. 30' — FK Liepaja equalised: 1-1. J. Ede scored it. 37' — João Pedro of FK Liepaja was sent off. Half time: 1-1.
65' — FK Liepaja completed the turnaround: 1-2. J. Ede scored it. FK Liepaja won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Grobinas SCDrawFK Liepaja
Pre-match model estimate: Grobinas SC 21%, draw 22%, FK Liepaja 57%.
Grobinas SC let a lead slip and lost 2-1 to FK Liepaja at Grobina Stadium. J. Ede scored twice for FK Liepaja. J. Ede was our player of the match, rated 8.2 by the ScoreMondo model for FK Liepaja. Sunday 8 November, Grobina Stadium (Grobina): Grobinas SC against FK Liepaja on matchday 36, kick-off 11:00.
Key moments
Grobinas SC took the lead on 21 minutes thanks to A. Puzirevskis, set up by I. Tyshchenko. FK Liepaja drew level at 1-1 on 30 minutes thanks to J. Ede. FK Liepaja were a man down from the 37th minute, when João Pedro was sent off. Half-time: 1-1 between Grobinas SC and FK Liepaja.
FK Liepaja completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 65th minute through J. Ede.
Match statistics
Grobinas SC won 7 corners, FK Liepaja 2. A red card for FK Liepaja and 6 yellows made it a bad-tempered match. 5 saves came from the FK Liepaja goalkeeper. Grobinas SC produced 178 dangerous attacks to FK Liepaja's 105. Fouls: 19 by Grobinas SC, 11 by FK Liepaja; offsides 1-0.
Booked for Grobinas SC: R. Baravykas (36'), A. Puzirevskis (55') and G. Leitans (85'). FK Liepaja's yellow cards went to João Pedro in the 33rd minute and D. Ošs in the 61st minute.
Who stood out
Behind him, A. Jovanović at 7.5, V. Sorokins at 7.5 and D. Ošs at 7.2 were next in the ScoreMondo ratings. Grobinas SC made 2 changes: A. Baydal for R. Baravykas (73') and J. Krautmanis for K. Rupeiks (83'). From the FK Liepaja bench came C. Mory on 46 minutes, Lauris Lakutis on 56 minutes and Crysthyan Lucas on 73 minutes.
How they came into it
The table had Grobinas SC 8th (29 points) and FK Liepaja 5th (48 points) going into the game. Before kick-off, Grobinas SC's last 5 matches had brought 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Grobinas SC lost 3-0 away to FC RFS in their last match. FK Liepaja came into the match with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches — unbeaten in 3. FK Liepaja were held 3-3 by SK Super Nova Salaspils in their latest outing. The record between them over the last 10 matches reads 3-1-6 from Grobinas SC's point of view. When they last met, on 21 August 2026, FK Liepaja won 3-1. There have been 25 goals in the 10 meetings, 2.5 a game.
The bigger picture
Grobinas SC stay 8th on 29 points. FK Liepaja remain 5th, now with 51 points. FK Liepaja extend their unbeaten run to 4 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
