FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam: the story of the match
FC Eindhoven started on the front foot and controlled the first 15 minutes. 27' — FC Eindhoven took the lead: 1-0. Siegert Baartmans scored from the penalty spot. 31' — FC Eindhoven extended the lead: 2-0. Vicente Besuijen scored it. 34' — FC Volendam pulled one back: 2-1. Reuven Niemeijer scored it. 40' — FC Volendam equalised: 2-2. Reuven Niemeijer scored it. Half time: 2-2, with FC Eindhoven applying more of the pressure.
55' — FC Eindhoven went back in front: 3-2. Rayan Buifrahi scored it. 64' — FC Eindhoven extended the lead: 4-2. Siegert Baartmans scored it. 67' — FC Volendam pulled one back: 4-3. Mohammed Belfqih scored it. 78' — FC Eindhoven extended the lead: 5-3. An own goal by Jaïr Haakmat. FC Eindhoven won 5-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC EindhovenDrawFC Volendam
Pre-match model estimate: FC Eindhoven 35%, draw 23%, FC Volendam 42%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
FC EindhovenFC Volendam
0'15'30'HT60'75'90'
Last 5 min1239
Last 15 min2865
How is this calculated?
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Eindhoven win in 35% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and FC Volendam win 42%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 63%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The early pressure came from FC Eindhoven, who controlled the opening 15 minutes. FC Eindhoven took the lead in the 27th minute: Siegert Baartmans from the penalty spot. Vicente Besuijen made it 2-0 for FC Eindhoven after 31 minutes. FC Volendam pulled one back to make it 2-1 in the 34th minute: Reuven Niemeijer. FC Volendam had a goal ruled out in the 35th minute.
FC Volendam drew level at 2-2 in the 40th minute: Reuven Niemeijer. The first half ended 2-2, with FC Eindhoven the side applying more pressure.
Rayan Buifrahi put FC Eindhoven 3-2 ahead after 55 minutes. FC Eindhoven extended their lead to 4-2 on 64 minutes thanks to Siegert Baartmans. FC Volendam pulled one back to make it 4-3 in the 67th minute: Mohammed Belfqih. FC Eindhoven extended their lead to 5-3 on 78 minutes thanks to an own goal from Jaïr Haakmat.
The statistics
On target it was 12-7, from 12 and 11 attempts respectively. FC Eindhoven won 3 corners, FC Volendam 7.
What it means
FC Eindhoven end a run of 5 matches without a win. FC Eindhoven ended FC Volendam's unbeaten run of 3 matches. It is FC Eindhoven's first win against FC Volendam since 2019.
Coming up
FC Eindhoven's next match is away to Helmond Sport on 30 October. FC Volendam host De Graafschap next, on 30 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
KNVB Cup
