22' — Santa Clara took the lead: 0-1. G. Paciencia scored it. 36' — Santa Clara extended the lead: 0-2. J. Tavares scored it. Half time: 0-2.
46' — FC Arouca pulled one back: 1-2. I. Barbero scored it. 85' — Sorriso of Santa Clara was sent off. Santa Clara won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC AroucaDrawSanta Clara
Pre-match model estimate: FC Arouca 36%, draw 34%, Santa Clara 30%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Santa Clara took the lead on 22 minutes thanks to G. Paciencia, set up by J. Tavares. Santa Clara extended their lead to 2-0 on 36 minutes thanks to J. Tavares, set up by P. Pacheco. Half-time: 0-2, Santa Clara in front.
FC Arouca pulled one back to make it 1-2 on 46 minutes thanks to I. Barbero, set up by N. Djouahra. Sorriso saw a straight red card in the 85th minute, leaving Santa Clara short-handed.
The bigger picture
Santa Clara extend their unbeaten run to 7 matches.
Coming up
FC Arouca's next match is away to Famalicao on 6 November. Santa Clara host Gil Vicente next, on 8 November in Liga Portugal.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga Portugal
