27' — CS Maritimo took the lead: 0-1. M. Tejon scored it. 44' — FC Arouca equalised: 1-1. E. van Ee scored it. Half time: 1-1.
55' — FC Arouca completed the turnaround: 2-1. I. Barbero scored it. FC Arouca won 2-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC AroucaDrawCS Maritimo
Pre-match model estimate: FC Arouca 67%, draw 21%, CS Maritimo 12%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CS Maritimo let a lead slip and lost 2-1 to FC Arouca at Estádio Municipal de Arouca.
Key moments
CS Maritimo took the lead on 27 minutes thanks to M. Tejon. FC Arouca drew level at 1-1 on 44 minutes thanks to E. van Ee, set up by A. Trezza. The first half ended 1-1.
FC Arouca completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 55th minute: I. Barbero, set up by P. Gozalbez.
What the result means
FC Arouca ended CS Maritimo's unbeaten run of 4 matches.
Liga Portugal
